Abstract
Ushbu tadqiqot Samarqand viloyati aholi sonini 2030 yilgacha eksponensial model asosida bashoratlashga bag‘ishlangan. Viloyatning 2000-2023 yillardagi statistik ma’lumotlariga tayangan holda, aholi sonining o‘sish koeffitsienti va boshlang‘ich qiymati aniqlandi. Natijalar viloyat aholisining barqaror o‘sishini ko‘rsatib, 2030 yilga kelib 4.5 million kishiga yetishi bashorat qilindi. Yillik o‘rtacha o‘sish sur’ati 1.86% atrofida baholandi. Tadqiqot natijalari grafik tahlil orqali vizuallashtirildi va modelning ishonchliligi yuqori ekanligi aniqlandi (R² = 0.998). Olingan natijalar viloyatning kelajakdagi ijtimoiy-iqtisodiy rivojlanishini rejalashtirish, infratuzilmani takomillashtirish va aholiga xizmat ko‘rsatish sohalarini rivojlantirish uchun muhim ahamiyatga ega. Shu bilan birga, tadqiqotning cheklovlari va kelajakdagi izlanishlar uchun tavsiyalar ham keltirildi.
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